Posts
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Links For July 2025
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Open Thread 388
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Contra Skolnick On Schizophrenia Microbes
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Your Review: Alpha School
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Missing Heritability: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
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Open Thread 387
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Open Questions For Future ACX Grants Rounds
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ACX Grants 1-3 Year Updates
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Open Thread 386
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The Claude Bliss Attractor
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"But" vs. "Yes, But"
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If It's Worth Your Time To Lie, It's Worth My Time To Correct It
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P-Zombies Would Report Qualia
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Open Thread 385
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Choose Nonbook Review Finalists 2025
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Berkeley Meetup This Wednesday
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Open Thread 384
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Bayes For Everyone
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Sorry, I Still Think MR Is Wrong About USAID
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Open Thread 383
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Moments Of Awakening
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The Evidence That A Million Americans Died Of COVID
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Contra MR On Charity Regrants
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The Other COVID Reckoning
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Open Thread 382
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Book Review: Selfish Reasons To Have More Kids
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In Search Of /r/petfree
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Open Thread 381
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Highlights From The Comments On AI Geoguessr
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Moldbug Sold Out
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Open Thread 380
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Testing AI's GeoGuessr Genius
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The Populist Right Must Own Tariffs
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Open Thread 379
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AMA With AI Futures Project Team
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AI Futures: Blogging And AMA
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Links For April 2025
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Open Thread 378
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ACX Classifieds 4/25
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Highlights From The Comments On POSIWID
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Open Thread 377
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Come On, Obviously The Purpose Of A System Is Not What It Does
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My Takeaways From AI 2027
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Open Thread 376
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Introducing AI 2027
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The Colors Of Her Coat
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Open Thread 375
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"Deros And The Ur-Abduction" In Asterisk
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Meetups Everywhere Spring 2025: Times & Places
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Open Thread 374
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More Drowning Children
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Misophonia: Beyond Sensory Sensitivity
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Open Thread 373
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OpenAI Nonprofit Buyout: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
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The Ozempocalypse Is Nigh
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What Happened To NAEP Scores?
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Open Thread 372
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Why Should Intelligence Be Related To Neuron Count?
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Spring Meetups Everywhere 2025 - Call For Organizers
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Open Thread 371.5
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Open Thread 371
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Everything-Except-Book Review Contest 2025
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Links For February 2025
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Why I Am Not A Conflict Theorist
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Open Thread 370
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Highlights From The Comments On Tegmark's Mathematical Universe
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Lives Of The Rationalist Saints
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Tegmark's Mathematical Universe Defeats Most Proofs Of God's Existence
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Open Thread 369
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Only About 40% Of The Cruz "Woke Science" Database Is Woke Science
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Deliberative Alignment, And The Spec
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Open Thread 368
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Ask Me Anything (2/2025)
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1DaySooner's Trump II Health Policy Proposals
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Money Saved By Canceling Programs Does Not Immediately Flow To The Best Possible Alternative
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Open Thread 367
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Model City Monday 2/3/25
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Why Recurring Dream Themes?
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ACX Survey Results 2025
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Open Thread 366
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Everyone's A Based Post-Christian Vitalist Until The Grooming Gangs Show Up
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Try The 2025 ACX/Metaculus Forecasting Contest
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Open Thread 365
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Links For January 2025
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Highlights From The Comments On Lynn And IQ
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How To Stop Worrying And Learn To Love Lynn's National IQ Estimates
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Subscrive Drive '25 + Free Unlocked Posts
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Open Thread 364
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Bureaucracy Isn't Measured In Bureaucrats
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On Priesthoods
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Open Thread 363
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It's Still Easier To Imagine The End Of The World Than The End Of Capitalism
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H5N1: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
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Open Thread 362
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Why Worry About Incorrigible Claude?
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Open Thread 361
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Take The 2025 ACX Survey
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Claude Fights Back
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Links For December 2024
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Open Thread 360
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Highlights From The Comments On Prison
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Open Thread 359
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Indulge Your Internet Addiction By Reading About Internet Addiction
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Friendly And Hostile Analogies For Taste
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Book Review: From Bauhaus To Our House
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Open Thread 358
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Prison And Crime: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
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Open Thread 357
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Against The Generalized Anti-Caution Argument
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How Did You Do On The AI Art Turing Test?
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Open Thread 356
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The Early Christian Strategy
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Book Review: The Rise Of Christianity
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Open Thread 355
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Congrats To Polymarket, But I Still Think They Were Mispriced
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Mantic Monday: Judgment Day
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Open Thread 354
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Links For November 2024
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ACX Endorses Harris, Oliver, Or Stein
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The Case Against California Proposition 36
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Open Thread 353
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Notes From The Progress Studies Conference
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Secrets Of The Median Voter Theorem
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ACX Local Voting Guides
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Open Thread 352
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Book Review: Deep Utopia
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AI Art Turing Test
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Open Thread 351
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Book Review Contest 2024 Winners
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SB 1047: Our Side Of The Story
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Triple Tragedy And Thankful Theory
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Open Thread 350
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Ballots Everywhere: Times And Places
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Against The Cultural Christianity Argument
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Preliminary Milei Report Card
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Open Thread 349
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Ballots Everywhere: Call For Organizers, Times, & Dates
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Vote In The 2024 Book Review Contest
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ACX Classifieds 9/2024
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How Often Do Men Think About Rome?
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Open Thread 348
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Your Book Review: The Ballad of the White Horse
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Sakana, Strawberry, and Scary AI
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Mantic Monday 9/16/24
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Open Thread 347
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Berkeley Meetup This Saturday
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Your Book Review: Nine Lives
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Links For September 2024
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Contra DeBoer On Temporal Copernicanism
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Open Thread 346
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Your Book Review: The Pale King
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Highlights From The Comments On "Sorry You Feel That Way"
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Interview Day At Thiel Capital
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Open Thread 345
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Your Book Review: The History of the Rise and Influence of the Spirit of Rationalism in Europe
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Meetups Everywhere 2024: Times & Places
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In Defense Of "I'm Sorry You Feel That Way"
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Open Thread 344
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Your Book Review: The Complete Rhyming Dictionary and Poet's Craft Book (1936 Edition)
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The Compounding Loophole
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Lukianoff And Defining Cancel Culture
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Open Thread 343
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Your Book Review: Silver Age Marvel Comics
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Why Does Ozempic Cure All Diseases?
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Open Thread 342
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Your Book Review: How the War Was Won
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Highlights From The Comments On Nietzsche
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Altruism And Vitalism As Fellow Travelers
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Open Thread 341
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Your Book Review: Two Arms and a Head
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Meetups Everywhere Fall 2024 - Call for Organizers
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Matt Yglesias Considered As The Nietzschean Superman
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Open Thread 340
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Your Book Review: Real Raw News
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Links for July 2024
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Some Practical Considerations Before Descending Into An Orgy Of Vengeance
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Open Thread 339
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Your Book Review: How Language Began
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Highlights From The Comments On Mentally Ill Homeless People
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Consciousness As Recursive Reflections
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Open Thread 338
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Your Book Review: The Family That Couldn’t Sleep
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Lifeboat Games And Backscratchers Clubs
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Details That You Should Include In Your Article On How We Should Do Something About Mentally Ill Homeless People
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Open Thread 337
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Your Book Review: Don Juan by Lord Byron
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Prediction Markets Suggest Replacing Biden
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Open Thread 336
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Your Book Review: Dominion
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My 2024 Presidential Debate
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Clarification On "Fake Tradition Is Traditional"
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Open Thread 335
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Your Book Review: Autobiography Of Yukichi Fukuzawa
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Fake Tradition Is Traditional
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Open Thread 334
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Failure To Replicate Anti-Vaccine Poll
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Nobody Can Make You Feel Genetically Inferior Without Your Consent
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Open Thread 333
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Berkeley Meetup This Wednesday
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Open Thread 332
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Unsong Available In Paperback
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Contra Stone On EA
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Links for May 2024
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What Is Going On In IFS?
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Open Thread 331
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A Theoretical "Case Against Education"
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Book Review: The Others Within Us
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Open Thread 330
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Choose Book Review Finalists 2024
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Profile: The Far Out Initiative
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Open Thread 329
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Mantic Monday 5/13/24
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Highlights From The Comments On Hanson And Health Care
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The Emotional Support Animal Racket
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Asterisk/Zvi on California's AI Bill
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Highlights From The Comments On "The Origin Of Woke"
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Open Thread 328
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Book Review: The Origins Of Woke
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Response to Hanson On Health Care
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Open Thread 327
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Survey Results: PMS Symptoms
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Desperately Trying To Fathom The Coffeepocalypse Argument
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Contra Hanson On Medical Effectiveness
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Open Thread 326
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ACX Survey Results 2024
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Ye Olde Bay Area House Party
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Updates on Lumina Probiotic
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Open Thread 325
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ACX Classifieds 4/24
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Highlights From The Comments On The Lab Leak Debate
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Open Thread 324
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Links For April 2024
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Open Thread 323
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Spring Meetups Everywhere 2024
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Practically-A-Book Review: Rootclaim $100,000 Lab Leak Debate
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Take The 2024 ACX Survey
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Open Thread 322
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In Continued Defense Of Non-Frequentist Probabilities
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The Mystery Of Internet Survey IQs
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Open Thread 320
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In Partial Grudging Defense Of Some Aspects Of Therapy Culture
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Verses On Five People Being Killed By A Falling Package Of Foreign Aid
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Mantic Monday 3/11/24
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Open Thread 317
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Who Does Polygenic Selection Help?
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Highlights From The Comments On Polyamory
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Mantic Monday 2/19/24
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Open Thread 316
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X Fact Check: Does Gender Integration Moderate Politics?
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Love And Liberty
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Sam Altman Wants $7 Trillion
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Open Thread 315
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ACX Grants Results 2024
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Evolution Explains Polygenic Structure
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You Don't Hate Polyamory, You Hate People Who Write Books
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Open Thread 314
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It's Fair To Describe Schizophrenia As Probably Mostly Genetic
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Seems Like Targeting
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Mantic Monday 1/29/24
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Open Thread 313
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The Psychopolitics Of Trauma
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Some Unintuitive Properties Of Polygenic Disorders
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Should The Future Be Human?
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Open Thread 312
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Subscrive Drive 2024 + Free Unlocked Posts
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Links For January 2024
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AI Sleeper Agents
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Against Learning From Dramatic Events
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Open Thread 311
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Highlights From The Comments On Capitalism & Charity
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The Road To Honest AI
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Open Thread 310
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Does Capitalism Beat Charity?
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Singing The Blues
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Open Thread 309
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Open Thread 308
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In The Long Run, We're All Dad
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Open Thread 307
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Son Of Bride Of Bay Area House Party
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Open Thread 306
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Apply For An ACX Grant (2024)
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Defying Cavity: Lantern Bioworks FAQ
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Beyond "Abolish The FDA"
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Mantic Monday 12/4/23
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Open Thread 305
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Links For November 2023
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Contra DeBoer On Movement Shell Games
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In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruism
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Open Thread 304
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God Help Us, Let's Try To Understand AI Monosemanticity
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Open Thread 303
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Book Review: I See Satan Fall Like Lighting
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Does Anaesthesia Prove Ketamine Placebo?
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Open Thread 302
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Followup: Quests And Requests
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Highlights From The Comments On Kidney Donation
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Hardball Questions For The Next Debate
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Open Thread 301
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Quests And Requests
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Dictator Book Club: Chavez
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Mantic Monday 10/30/23
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Open Thread 300
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My Left Kidney
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Open Thread 299
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Open Thread 298
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Open Thread 297
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Impact Market Mini-Grants Results
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Pause For Thought: The AI Pause Debate
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How Are The Gay Younger Brothers Doing?
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Open Thread 296
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Links For September 2023
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Open Thread 295
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ACX Classifieds 9/23
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Book Review: The Alexander Romance
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Open Thread 294
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Highlights From The Comments On Elon Musk
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Book Review Contest 2023 Winners
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Book Review: Elon Musk
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Open Thread 293
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Highlights From The Comments On Last Week's Model Cities Post
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Vote In The 2023 Book Review Contest
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Contra Kirkegaard On Evolutionary Definitions Of Mental Illness
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My Presidential Platform
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Open Thread 292
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Model City Monday 9/4/23: California Dreamin'
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Your Book Review: Zuozhuan
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Here's Why Automaticity Is Real Actually
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Highlights From The Comments On Fetishes
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Open Thread 291
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Mantic Monday 8/28/23
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Your Book Review: Why Nations Fail
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Meetups Everywhere 2023: Times & Places
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More Thoughts On Critical Windows
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Highlights From The Comments On Dating Preferences
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Critical Periods For Language: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
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What Can Fetish Research Tell Us About AI?
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Open Thread 290
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Your Book Review: The Mind Of A Bee
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Bride Of Bay Area House Party
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In Defense Of Describable Dating Preferences
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Open Thread 289
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Your Book Review: The Weirdest People in the World
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Highlights From The Comments On Putin
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Links For August 2023
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Open Thread 288
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Your Book Review: The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich
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More Memorable Passages From "The Man Without A Face"
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Dictator Book Club: Putin
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Meetups Everywhere Fall 2023 - Call For Organizers
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Mantic Monday 7/31/23: Room Temperature Superforecaster
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Open Thread 287
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Your Book Review: On the Marble Cliffs
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Bad Definitions Of "Democracy" And "Accountability" Shade Into Totalitarianism
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New York Meetup On Sunday
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We're Not Platonists, We've Just Learned The Bitter Lesson
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Highlights From The Comments On Social Model Of Disability
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Open Thread 286
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Your Book Review: The Laws of Trading
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The Extinction Tournament
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Highlights From The Comments On British Economic Decline
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Berkeley Meetup On Sunday, Special Guest Philip Tetlock
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Open Thread 285
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Contra The xAI Alignment Plan
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Your Book Review: The Educated Mind
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Contra The Social Model Of Disability
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Why Match School And Student Rank?
-
Open Thread 284
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Your Book Review: Secret Government
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Links For July 2023
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Tales Of Takeover In CCF-World
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Open Thread 283
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Your Book Review: Safe Enough?
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Is There An Illusion Of Moral Decline?
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Sure, Whatever, Let's Try Another Contra Caplan On Mental Illness
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Every Flashing Element On Your Site Alienates And Enrages Users
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"Through A Glass Darkly" In Asterisk Magazine
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Open Thread 282
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Your Book Review: Public Citizens
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Davidson On Takeoff Speeds
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Open Thread 281
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Your Book Review: Njal’s Saga
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Your Incentives Are Not The Same As Media Companies'
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Atlanta Meetup This Sunday
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The Canal Papers
-
Open Thread 280
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Your Book Review: Man’s Search for Meaning
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Attempts To Put Statistics In Context, Put Into Context
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Highlights From The Comments On The Academic Job Market
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Open Thread 279
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Your Book Review: Why Machines Will Never Rule the World
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Links For May 2023
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All Medications Are Insignificant In The Eyes Of God And Traditional Effect Size Criteria
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Are Woo Non-Responders Defective?
-
Open Thread 278
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Your Book Review: Lying for Money
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Mantic Monday 5/22/23
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Open Thread 277
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Your Book Review: Cities And The Wealth Of Nations/The Question Of Separatism
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Why Is The Academic Job Market So Weird?
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Galton, Ehrlich, Buck
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Open Thread 276
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Highlights From The Comments On Long COVID And Bisexuality
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Highlights From The Comments On Housing Density And Prices
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Open Thread 275
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Constitutional AI: RLHF On Steroids
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Berkeley Meetup This Saturday
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Raise Your Threshold For Accusing People Of Faking Bisexuality
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Replication Attempt: Bisexuality And Long COVID
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Open Thread 274
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The Psychology Of Fantasy
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Highlights From The Comments On Nerds And Hipsters
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Mantic Monday 4/24/23
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Open Thread 273
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Hidden Open Thread 272.5
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Links For April 2023
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Contra Kriss On Nerds And Hipsters
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Open Thread 272
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Highlights From The Comments On IRBs
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Book Review: From Oversight To Overkill
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Spring Meetups Everywhere 2023
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Open Thread 271
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Hidden Open Thread 270.5
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Book Review: The Arctic Hysterias
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Most Technologies Aren't Races
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But Seriously, Are Bloxors Greeblic?
-
Open Thread 270
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Highlights From The Comments On Telemedicine Regulations
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Hidden Open Thread 269.5
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MR Tries The Safe Uncertainty Fallacy
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The Government Is Making Telemedicine Hard And Inconvenient Again
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Turing Test
-
Open Thread 269
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Hidden Open Thread 268.5
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Book Review: Paper Belt On Fire
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Open Thread 268
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Half An Hour Before Dawn In San Francisco
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Why Do Transgender People Report Hypermobile Joints?
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Classifieds Thread 3/23
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Are We All Doxastic Voluntarists?
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Why I Am Not (As Much Of) A Doomer (As Some People)
-
Open Thread 267
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Links For March 2023
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Open Thread 266.66666...
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Give Up Seventy Percent Of The Way Through The Hyperstitious Slur Cascade
-
Issue Two Of Asterisk
-
Kelly Bets On Civilization
-
Open Thread 266
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Impact Market Mini-Grants Update
-
Against Ice Age Civilizations
-
Memorize A Few Basic Numbers To Have Intuitions About Other Things
-
OpenAI's "Planning For AGI And Beyond"
-
Highlights From The Comments On Geography Of Madness
-
Open Thread 265
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Announcing Forecasting Impact Mini-Grants
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Book Review: What's Our Problem?
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Book Review: The Geography Of Madness
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Open Thread 264
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Grading My 2018 Predictions For 2023
-
Declining Sperm Count: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
-
Trying Again On Fideism
-
Ro-mantic Monday 2/13/23
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Contra Kavanagh On Fideism
-
Open Thread 263
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Hidden Open Thread 262.5
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Links For February 2023
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Henrietta Lacks Seems Like A Nice Person, But Not A Scientific Hero
-
Bonus Wisdom Of Crowds Analysis
-
Open Thread 262
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Crowds Are Wise (And One's A Crowd)
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Berkeley Meetup On Tuesday, Special Guest Daniel Ingram
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Hidden Open Thread 261.5
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Mostly Skeptical Thoughts On The Chatbot Propaganda Apocalypse
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Book Review Contest Rules 2023
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Response To Alexandros Contra Me On Ivermectin
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Mantic Monday 1/30/2023
-
Open Thread 261
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[Sneak Peek] Declining Sperm Count: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
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Hidden Open Thread 260.5
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Janus' Simulators
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You Don't Want A Purely Biological, Apolitical Taxonomy Of Mental Disorders
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Who Predicted 2022?
-
Open Thread 260
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ACX Survey Results 2022
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Which Political Victories Cause Backlash?
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Hidden Open Thread 259.5
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SSC Survey Results On Schooling Types
-
Open Thread 259
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Hidden Open Thread 258.5
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Conspiracies of Cognition, Conspiracies Of Emotion
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2023 Subscription Drive + Free Unlocked Posts
-
Highlights From The Comments On The Media Very Rarely Lying
-
Stage 2 Of Prediction Contest
-
Open Thread 258
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Hidden Open Thread 257.5
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Even More Bay Area House Party
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How Do AIs' Political Opinions Change As They Get Smarter And Better-Trained?
-
Open Thread 257
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Take The 2022 ACX Survey!
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Sorry, I Still Think I Am Right About The Media Very Rarely Lying
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Hidden Open Thread 256.6
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Links For December 2022
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Selection Bias Is A Fact Of Life, Not An Excuse For Rejecting Internet Surveys
-
Open Thread 256
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Fact Check: Do All Healthy People Have Mystical Experiences?
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The Media Very Rarely Lies
-
Hidden Open Thread 255.5
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The Buying Things From A Store FAQ
-
Prediction Market FAQ
-
Open Thread 255
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2023 Prediction Contest
-
A Crypto Exchange
-
Perhaps It Is A Bad Thing That The World's Leading AI Companies Cannot Control Their AIs
-
Open Thread 254
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Highlights From The Comments On Bobos In Paradise
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Hidden Open Thread 253.5
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Why I'm Less Than Infinitely Hostile To Cryptocurrency
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Know Your GABA-A Receptor Subunits
-
What Your Doctor Spends 80% Of Their Time Doing
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Peer Review: Prediction Market FAQ
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Open Thread 253
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Which Is Bigger, 256,000 Or A Deer?
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Book Review: First Sixth Of Bobos In Paradise
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Highlights From The Comments On Semaglutide
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Open Thread 252
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Can This AI Save Teenage Spy Alex Rider From A Terrible Fate?
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If The Media Reported On Other Things Like It Does Effective Altruism
-
Semaglutidonomics
-
Mantic Monday: Twitter Chaos Edition
-
"Is Wine Fake?" In Asterisk Magazine
-
Open Thread 251
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Hidden Open Thread 150.5
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The Psychopharmacology Of The FTX Crash
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Open Thread 250
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Too Spicy For Twitter
-
Contra Resident Contrarian On Unfalsifiable Internal States
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Open Thread 249.5: Challenge Mode
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Can People Be Honestly Wrong About Their Own Experiences?
-
Highlights From The Comments On Brain Waves
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Open Thread 249
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Highlights From The Comments On My California Ballot
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My California Ballot 2022
-
ACX Grants: Project Updates
-
Moderation Is Different From Censorship
-
Open Thread 248.5
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Highlights From The Comments On Jhanas
-
Open Thread 248
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Elon Musk Has Purchased Twitter
-
Book Review: Malleus Maleficarum
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Open Thread 247.5
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Nick Cammarata On Jhana
-
Highlights From The Comments On Supplement Labeling
-
From The Mailbag
-
Open Thread 247
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Open Thread 246.5
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Book Review: Rhythms Of The Brain
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Another Bay Area House Party
-
Mantic Monday 10/17/22
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Open Thread 246
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Hidden Open Thread 245.5
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Highlights From The Comments On The Central Valley
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Links For October
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Highlights From The Comments On Columbus Day
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Open Thread 245
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A Columbian Exchange
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LA and San Diego Meetups This Weekend
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Hidden Open Thread 244.5
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How Trustworthy Are Supplements?
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CHAI, Assistance Games, And Fully-Updated Deference
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Open Thread 244
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Highlights From The Comments On Unpredictable Reward
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Universe-Hopping Through Substack
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From Nostradamus To Fukuyama
-
Open Thread 243
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Hidden Open Thread 242.5
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Highlights From The Comments On Billionaire Replaceability
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Ask Me Anything
-
Why Is The Central Valley So Bad?
-
Janus' GPT Wrangling
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Open Thread 242
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Bay Area Meetups This Weekend
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Travelogue: Northern California
-
Hidden Open Thread 241.5
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Unpredictable Reward, Predictable Happiness
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Open Thread 241
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I Won My Three Year AI Progress Bet In Three Months
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Classifieds Thread 9/22
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Links For September 2022
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Open Thread 240
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The Prophet And Caesar's Wife
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Book Review Contest 2022 Winners
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Open Thread 239.5
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Billionaires, Surplus, And Replaceability
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Open Thread 239
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Your Book Review: Kora In Hell
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Meetups Everywhere 2022: Times & Places
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Hidden Open Thread 238.5
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Highlights From The Comments On The Repugnant Conclusion And WWOTF
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Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions
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Book Review: What We Owe The Future
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Open Thread 238
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Your Book Review: 1587, A Year Of No Significance
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Open Thread 237.5
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Highlights From The Comments On Subcultures
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Skills Plateau Because Of Decay And Interference
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Meetups Everywhere 2022 - Call For Organizers
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Mantic Monday 8/15/22
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Open Thread 237
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Your Book Review: God Emperor Of Dune
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Will Nonbelievers Really Believe Anything?
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Hidden Open Thread 236.5
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A Cyclic Theory Of Subcultures
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Why Not Slow AI Progress?
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Open Thread 236
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Your Book Review: Exhaustion
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Hidden Open Thread 235.5
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Slightly Against Underpopulation Worries
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Absurdity Bias, Neom Edition
-
Open Thread 235
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Model City Monday 8/1/22
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Your Book Review: Viral
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Links For July
-
Hidden Open Thread 234.5
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Highlights From The Comments On Criticism Of Criticism Of Criticism
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Forer Statements As Updates And Affirmations
-
ELK And The Problem Of Truthful AI
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Open Thread 234
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Your Book Review: The Society Of The Spectacle
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Hidden Open Thread 233.5
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Perpendicular Lives II
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Criticism Of Criticism Of Criticism
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Open Thread 233
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Your Book Review: The Righteous Mind
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Impact Markets: The Annoying Details
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Hidden Open Thread 232.5
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Book Review: The Man From The Future
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Mantic Monday 7/11/22
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Open Thread 232
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Your Book Review: The Outlier
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Highlights From The Comments On The 2020 Homicide Spike
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Hidden Open Thread 231.5
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Nobody Knows How Well Homework Works
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Study: Ritalin Works, But School Isn't Worth Paying Attention To
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Open Thread 231
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Your Book Review: The Internationalists
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Links For June
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Hidden Open Thread 230.5
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What Caused The 2020 Homicide Spike?
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Highlights From The Comments On San Fransicko
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Model City Monday 6/27/22
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Open Thread 230
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Your Book Review: Public Choice Theory And The Illusion Of Grand Strategy
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Open Thread 229.5
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Book Review: San Fransicko
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Open Thread 229
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Your Book Review: The Future Of Fusion Energy
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Peer Review: Nightmares
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Hidden Open Thread 228.5
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Open Thread 228
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Mantic Monday 6/13/22
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Your Book Review: The Dawn Of Everything
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Somewhat Contra Marcus On AI Scaling
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Hidden Open Thread 227.5
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Against "There Are Two X-Wing Parties"
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Which Party Has Gotten More Extreme Faster?
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My Bet: AI Size Solves Flubs
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It's Bad On Purpose To Make You Click
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Open Thread 227
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Your Book Review: The Castrato
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Hidden Open Thread 226.5
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Classifieds Thread 6/2022
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Birth Order Effects: Nature vs. Nurture
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Open Thread 226
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A Guide To Asking Robots To Design Stained Glass Windows
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Your Book Review: The Anti-Politics Machine
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[Peer Review] Which Party Has Gotten More Extreme Faster?
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Hidden Open Thread 225.5
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In Partial, Grudging Defense Of The Hearing Voices Movement
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California Gubernatorial Candidates From Z to Z
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Willpower, Human and Machine
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Open Thread 225
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Your Book Review: Making Nature
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Hidden Open Thread 224.5
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Lavender's Game: Silexan For Anxiety
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Link: Troof On Nootropics
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Contra Dynomight On Sexy In-Laws
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Open Thread 224
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Your Book Review: Consciousness And The Brain
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Hidden Open Thread 223.5
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Mantic Monday 5/9/22
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Book Review: The Gervais Principle
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Open Thread 223
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Berkeley Meetup This Saturday
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Why Do People Prefer My Old Blog's Layout To Substack's?
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Every Bay Area House Party
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Open Thread 222
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Highlights From The Comments On Xi Jinping
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Hidden Open Thread 221.5
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Current Affairs' Marxist Critique Of Toddler Show Blippi Isn't Marxist Enough
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Book Review: A Clinical Introduction To Lacanian Psychoanalysis
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Open Thread 221
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Hidden Open Thread 219.5
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Initial Conditions
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Hidden Open Thread 220.5
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Contra Hoffman On Vitamin D Dosing
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Highlights From The Comments On "Sadly, Porn"
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Mantic Monday 4/18/22
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Open Thread 220
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Irvine Meetup This Monday
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Links For April
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Obscure Pregnancy Interventions: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
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Biography of Jason Shea, 44th US President
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Deceptively Aligned Mesa-Optimizers: It's Not Funny If I Have To Explain It
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Spring Meetups In Seventy Cities
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Open Thread 219
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Peer Review Request: Obscure Pregnancy Interventions
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Highlights From The Comments On Self-Determination
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Hidden Open Thread 218.5
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Dictator Book Club: Xi Jinping
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Yudkowsky Contra Christiano On AI Takeoff Speeds
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Open Thread 218
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The Low-Hanging Fruit Argument: Models And Predictions
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Hidden Open Thread 217.5
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Idol Words
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Who Gets Self-Determination?
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Information Markets, Decision Markets, Attention Markets, Action Markets
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Open Thread 217
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Highlights From The Comments On Justice Creep
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Hidden Open Thread 216.5
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Men Will Literally Have Completely Different Mental Processes Instead Of Going To Therapy
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Contra Hoel On Aristocratic Tutoring
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Mantic Monday 3/21/22
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Open Thread 216
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Hidden Open Thread 215.5
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The Onion Knight
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Highlights From The Comments On Zulresso
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Justice Creep
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Mantic Monday 3/14/22
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Open Thread 215
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Hidden Open Thread 214.5
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Progesterone Megadoses Might Be A Cheap Zulresso Substitute
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Advice For Unwoke Academic?
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Zounds! It's Zulresso and Zuranolone!
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Ukraine Thoughts And Links
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Open Thread 214
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What Are We Arguing About When We Argue About Rationality?
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Hidden Open Thread 213.5
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Microaddictions
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Ukraine Warcasting
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Open Thread 213
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Austin Meetup Correction
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Hidden Open Thread 212.5
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Biological Anchors: A Trick That Might Or Might Not Work
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Links For February
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Play Money And Reputation Systems
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Open Thread 212
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Hidden Open Thread 211.5
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Austin Meetup Next Sunday
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The Gods Only Have Power Because We Believe In Them
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Book Review: Sadly, Porn
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Mantic Monday: Ukraine Cube Manifold
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Open Thread 211
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Highlights From The Comments On Motivated Reasoning And Reinforcement Learning
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Hidden Open Thread 210.5
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ACX Grants ++: The Second Half
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So You Want To Run A Microgrants Program
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Two Small Corrections And Updates
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Heuristics That Almost Always Work
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The Passage Of Polymarket
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Open Thread 210
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Hidden Open Thread 209.5
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Book Review Contest Rules 2022
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ACX Grants ++: The First Half
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Why Do I Suck?
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Motivated Reasoning As Mis-applied Reinforcement Learning
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Predictions For 2022
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Open Thread 209
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Hidden Open Thread 208.5
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Classifieds Thread 1/2022
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Highlights From The Comments On Health Care Systems
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Bounded Distrust
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Against That Poverty And Infant EEGs Study
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Open Thread 208
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Grading My 2021 Predictions
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Resubmit And Summarize Your Proposals For Grants ++
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Hidden Open Thread 207.5
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Ask Me Anything
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Book Review: Which Country Has The World's Best Health Care?
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Practically-A-Book Review: Yudkowsky Contra Ngo On Agents
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Open Thread 207
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There's A Time For Everyone
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Hidden Open Thread 206.5
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Open Thread 206
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Highlights From The Comments On "Don't Look Up"
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Open Thread 205.5
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Name's The Same
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Movie Review: Don't Look Up
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Lewis Carroll Invented Retroactive Public Goods Funding In 1894
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Open Thread 205
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Open Thread 204.5
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Links For December
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ACX Grants Results
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Open Thread 204
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Mantic Monday: Dogs In Wizard Hats
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Open Thread 203.5
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Highlights From The Comments On Diseasonality
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Addendum To "No Evidence" Post
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Addendum To Luvox Post
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The FDA Has Punted Decisions About Luvox Prescription To The Deepest Recesses Of The Human Soul
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Mantic Monday: Let Me Google That For You
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Open Thread 203
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The Phrase "No Evidence" Is A Red Flag For Bad Science Communication
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Open Thread 202.5
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Ancient Plagues
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Open Thread 202
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Does Georgism Work, Part 3: Can Unimproved Land Value be Accurately Assessed Separately From Buildings?
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Does Georgism Work? Part 2: Can Landlords Pass Land Value Tax on to Tenants?
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Hidden Open Thread 201.5
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Does Georgism Work? Is Land Really A Big Deal?
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Diseasonality
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Model City Monday 12/6/21
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Open Thread 201
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Open Thread 200.5
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Book Review: Lifespan
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MM: Omicron Variant
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Open Thread 200
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Links For November
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Pascalian Medicine
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Open Thread 199.5
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Higlights From The Comments On Ivermectin
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Highlights From The Comments On The FDA And Paxlovid
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When Will The FDA Approve Paxlovid?
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Open Thread 199
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Open Thread 198.5
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Highlights From The Comments On Great Families
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Continental Drip
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Ivermectin: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
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Mantic Monday 11/15
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Open Thread 198
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Open Thread 197.5
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Highlights From The Comments On Orban
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Apply For An ACX Grant
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Secrets Of The Great Families
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Open Thread 197
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Model City Monday 11/8/21
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Open Thread 196.5
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Dictator Book Club: Orban
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Non-Cognitive Skills For Educational Attainment Suggest Benefits Of Mental Illness Genes
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Mantic Monday 11/1/21
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Open Thread 196
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Jhanas and the Dark Room Problem
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Learn British English With ACX
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Epistemic Minor Leagues
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Open Thread 195 + Cambridge/Edinburgh Meetups This Weekend
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Chilling Effects
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Open Thread 194 + London/Oxford Meetups This Weekend
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Links For October
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Correction: London Meetup Location
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Highlights From The Comments On Kids And Global Warming
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Please Don't Give Up On Having Kids Because Of Climate Change
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Learn German With ACX
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Open Thread 193 + Berlin/Paris Meetups This Weekend
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Classifieds Thread 10/2021
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Highlights From The Comments On Modern Architecture
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Open Thread 192 + Vienna/Prague Meetups This Weekend
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Learn Spanish With ACX
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Open Thread 191.5
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Book Review: The Scout Mindset
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Open Thread 191 + Madrid/Zurich Meetups This Weekend
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Whither Tartaria?
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Learn Portuguese With ACX
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Links For September
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Open Thread 190
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Lisbon Meetup This Saturday
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Book Review: The Revolt Of The Public
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Open Thread 189.5
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Book Review: Modi - A Political Biography
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Open Thread 189
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Washington DC Meetup This Saturday
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The Unbearable Semiheaviness Of Being
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Open Thread 188.5
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Too Good To Check: A Play In Three Acts
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Open Thread 188
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New York Meetup This Monday
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Boston Meetup This Sunday
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Open Thread 187.5
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Long COVID: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
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Peer Review: Long COVID: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
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On Hreha On Behavioral Economics
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Open Thread 187
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Berkeley Meetup This Saturday
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Highlights From The Comments On Missing School
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If You're So Smart, Why Aren't You Governor Of California?
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Carbon Costs Quantified
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Meetups Everywhere 2021: Times And Places
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Open Thread 186
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Highlights From The Comments On Aducanumab
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Peer Review Request: Carbon Costs Quantified
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Open Thread 185.5
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Links For August
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Kids Can Recover From Missing Even Quite A Lot Of School
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Open Thread 185
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Blindness, Schizophrenia, and Autism
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Contra Hanania On Partisanship
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Open Thread 184.5
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Classifieds Thread 8/2021
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(Outdoor, Careful) Meetups Everywhere 2021 - Seeking Organizers
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Eight Hundred Slightly Poisoned Word Games
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Open Thread 184
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Contra Drum On The Fish Oil Story
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Open Thread 183.5
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Details Of The Infant Fish Oil Story
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Highlights From The Comments On Acemoglu And AI
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Adumbrations Of Aducanumab
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What Should We Make Of Sasha Chapin's Claim That Taking LSD Restored His Sense Of Smell After COVID?
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Model City Monday 8/2/21
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Open Thread 183
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Updated Look At Long-Term AI Risks
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When Does Worrying About Things Trade Off Against Worrying About Other Things?
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Contra Acemoglu On...Oh God, We're Doing This Again, Aren't We?
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Mantic Monday 7/26
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Open Thread 182
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Links For July
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Open Thread 181.5
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Things I Learned Writing The Lockdown Post
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Highlights From The Comments On "Crazy Like Us"
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Peer Review Request: Ketamine
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Open Thread 181
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Please Take The Reader Survey
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Open Thread 180.5
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Book Review: Crazy Like Us
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Reader Survey Final Check-In
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Use Prediction Markets To Fund Investigative Reporting
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Open Thread 180
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Book Review Contest: Winners
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Open Thread 179.5
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Is This Predictive Coding?
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Lockdown Effectiveness: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
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Model City Monday
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Open Thread 179
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Open Thread 178.5
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Highlights From The Comments On "How Asia Works"
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Welcome Polygenically Screened Babies
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Book Review: How Asia Works
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Open Thread 178
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Open Thread 177.5
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ACX Reader Research Survey: Call For Submissions
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Perpendicular Lives
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Links For June
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Mantic Monday 6/21/21
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Open Thread 177
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Vote In The Book Review Contest!
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Your Book Review: Plagues And Peoples
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Peer Review: Lockdown Effectiveness
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Open Thread 176.5
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On Cerebralab On Nutt/Carhart-Harris On Serotonin
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Contra Smith On Jewish Selective Immigration
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Open Thread 176
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Your Book Review: How Children Fail
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Open Thread 175.5
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Your Book Review: Down And Out In Paris And London
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Drug Users Use A Lot Of Drugs
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I Will Not Eat The Bugs
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Instead Of Pledging To Change The World, Pledge To Change Prediction Markets
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Open Thread 175
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Your Book Review: Where's My Flying Car?
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Your Book Review: The Collapse Of Complex Societies
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You Have A Terrible Track Record In Guessing My Motives
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Open Thread 174.5
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Moral Costs Of Chicken Vs. Beef
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What Do Treatments For Accelerated Aging Tell Us About Normal Aging?
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Open Thread 174
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Your Book Review: Humankind
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Open Thread 173.5
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COVID Suicides: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
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Reflections On Greed Being Made Of Smaller Parts
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Peer Review Request: Depression
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Book Review: Arabian Nights
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Open Thread 173
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Your Book Review: The Accidental Superpower
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Links For May
-
The Coldness Of Karen
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Hidden Open Thread 172.5
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Highlights From The Comments On Culture Wars
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Open Thread 172
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Your Book Review: Addiction By Design
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Hidden Open Thread 171.5
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Highlights From The Comments On CBT-i Apps
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Welcome To The Terrible World Of Prescription-Only Apps
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Theses On The Current Moment
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The Rise And Fall Of Online Culture Wars
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Open Thread 171
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My Favorite ICD-10 Codes
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Your Book Review: The Years Of Lyndon Johnson
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Hidden Open Thread 170.5
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Your Book Review: Through The Eye Of A Needle
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Why Is It Hard To Acknowledge Preferences?
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Book Review: A Brief History Of Neoliberalism
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If You Can Be Bad, You Can Also Be Good
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Open Thread 170
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Your Book Review: The Wizard And The Prophet
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Hidden Open Thread 169.5
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Your Book Review: Double Fold
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Nootropics Survey 2020 Results
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Verses Written On The Occasion Of Getting The COVID Vaccine
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Mantic Monday: Predictions For 2021
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Open Thread 169
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Your Book Review: Why Buddhism Is True
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Your Book Review: Are We Smart Enough To Know How Smart Animals Are?
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Hidden Open Thread 168.5
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Book Review: Global Economic History
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No, Really, Why Are So Many Christians In Colombia Converting To Orthodox Judaism?
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Mantic Monday: Grading My Trump Predictions
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Open Thread 168
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Georgist Cartoons Of The Late 19th/Early 20th Century
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Your Book Review: Progress And Poverty
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Hidden Open Thread 167.5
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Prospectus On Próspera
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[LINK] Unifying Predictive Coding With Backpropagation
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Links For April
-
Open Thread 167
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From The Rejects Pile: Catch-22
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Your Book Review: On The Natural Faculties
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Your Book Review: Order Without Law
-
Hidden Open Thread 166.5
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Metis And Bodybuilders
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Two Unexpected Multiple Hypothesis Testing Problems
-
2020 Predictions: Calibration Results
-
Open Thread 166
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Hidden Open Thread 165.5
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Ambidexterity And Cognitive Closure
-
Oh, The Places You'll Go When Trying To Figure Out The Right Dose Of Escitalopram
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Open Thread 165
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Ask Me Anything
-
Toward A Bayesian Theory Of Willpower
-
More Antifragile, Diversity Libertarianism, And Corporate Censorship
-
Hidden Open Thread 164.5
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Book Review: Antifragile
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Adding My Data Point To The Discussion Of Substack Advances
-
Open Thread 164
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Hidden Open Thread 163.5
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Book Review: The New Sultan
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Sleep Is The Mate Of Death
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Mantic Monday: Mantic Matt Y
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Open Thread 163
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Richard Nixon Vs. Cool
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Hidden Open Thread 162.5
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Trapped Priors As A Basic Problem Of Rationality
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The Consequences Of Radical Reform
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Open Thread 162
-
They're Made Out Of Meta
-
Highlights From The Comments On Class
-
Highlights From The Comments On March Links
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Hidden Open Thread 161.5
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Links For March
-
Shilling For Big Mitochondria
-
Mantic Monday: Scoring Rule Controversy
-
Open Thread 161
-
Bay Area Plant-Based Meat Reviews
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A Modest Proposal For Republicans: Use The Word "Class"
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Hidden Open Thread 160.5
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Book Review: Fussell On Class
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Mantic Monday: Judging April COVID Predictions
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Open Thread 160
-
A Look Down Track B
-
Movie Review: Gabriel Over The White House
-
Ezra Klein On Vetocracy
-
Highlights From The Comments On Cult Of Smart
-
Book Review: The Cult Of Smart
-
COVID/Vitamin D: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
-
Coronavirus: Links, Discussion, Open Thread
-
Statement on New York Times Article
-
The Precision Of Sensory Evidence
-
List Of Fictional Cryptocurrencies Banned By The SEC
-
Ontology Of Psychiatric Conditions: Tradeoffs And Failures
-
Hidden Open Thread 159.5
-
Book Review: Why We're Polarized
-
Metaculus Monday 2/8/21
-
Open Thread 159
-
Journalism and Legible Expertise
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WebMD, And The Tragedy Of Legible Expertise
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Hidden Open Thread 158.5
-
Book Review Contest Final Rules
-
Ontology Of Psychiatric Conditions: Dynamical Systems
-
Riddle Of The Sphinx II: Sustained Release Riddlin'
-
Metaculus Monday
-
Open Thread 158
-
Technocracy-Zilla: Origins
-
Weyl Contra Me On Technocracy
-
Contra Weyl On Technocracy
-
Ontology Of Psychiatric Conditions: Taxometrics
-
Hidden Open Thread 157.5
-
Know Your Amphetamines
-
Open Thread 157
-
Logistics
-
Still Alive
-
You're Probably Wondering Why I've Called You Here Today
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